A preliminary examination of the voting habits of various prominent religious groups in the 2018 midterm elections reveals significant consistency. White religious or born-again Christians backed Republican candidates for the United States House of Representatives at a similar rate to 2014. Meanwhile, religiously unaffiliated people (often known as religious “nones”) and Jewish voters voted overwhelmingly for Democratic politicians.
According to communal Election Pool (NEP) exit poll statistics cited by NBC News, three-quarters (75%) of white evangelical or born-again Christians (a group that includes Protestants, Catholics, and member religious other faiths) voted for Republican House candidates in 2018. comparable to the 2014 (78%) and 2010 midterm elections (77 per cent).
On the other hand, seven out of ten religious “nones” voted for the Democratic candidate in their congressional district, nearly comparable to the percentage of religious “nones” who voted for Democrats in 2014 and 2010. Almost eight out of ten Jewish voters (79%) voted for the Democrats, a somewhat more significant percentage than in 2014 but still below 2006 levels. (In 2010, there were no data on Jewish voters.)
Compared to other midterm elections, the 2018 exit polls suggest a minor movement in Catholic voting trends. This year, Catholics between the parties, with 50% supporting the Democratic candidate for Congress in their district and 49% supporting the Republican nominee. Catholics supported Republican candidates by around ten percentage points in the last two midterm elections (2014 and 2010).
Protestants voted for Republican congressional candidates 56 per cent of the time and Democrats 42 per cent of the time. Those who identify with faiths other than religion and Judaism (including Muslims, Buddhists, Hindus, and others) voted for Democratic congressional candidates 73% of the time, while Republicans received 25% of the vote.
Voter religious makeup in midterm elections, 2006-2018
By an 18-point margin, voters who say they attend religious services at least once a week favoured Republican candidates in their congressional districts over Democrats. Those who attend services less frequently, including two-thirds (68%) of those who claim they never participate in religious services, favoured the Democratic Party.
According to an analysis of the religious makeup of the 2018 midterm electorate, 17% of voters were religiously unaffiliated, 12% in 2014 10% in 2010. Meanwhile, Protestants accounted for 47% of voters in 2018, down from 53% in 2014 and 55% in 2010. The percentage of voters who identify as Catholic, Jewish, or other faiths did not change much. And the 26% of white voters who identify as born-again or evangelical Christians in the 2018 midterm elections is similar to other recent midterm elections.
The numbers shown here may differ slightly from figures available on the websites of NEP member companies if data is the National Election Pool (NEP), a consortium of news organisations that conducts exit polls.
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